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en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

Nathaniel Read "Nate" Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician and writer ... In the 2012 United States presidential election, Silver correctly predicted the winner of .... takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college. ... He also tried his luck in the 2009 World Series of Poker.

fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/02/26/did-democrats-get-lucky-in-the-electoral-college

Feb 26, 2013 ... Nate Silver ... Contrast this Democratic advantage in the Electoral College with the Republican ... The chart orders the states and the District of Columbia based on what share of the vote Mr. Obama received in each one.

fivethirtyeight.com/features/did-democrats-get-lucky-in-the-electoral-college

Feb 26, 2013 ... President Obama won the Electoral College fairly decisively last year despite a margin of just 3.8 percentage points in the national popular vote ...

fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-rust-belt-elevated-trump-but-its-electoral-power-is-dwindling

Feb 16, 2017 ... States projected to gain and lose electoral votes in 2024 .... three of the four congressional seats the state gained after the 2010 census went to Democrats. ... take all of that skill and some luck in state elections to keep their current advantage in the House. ..... Get our weekly most popular stories newsletter.

fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-not-all-about-clinton-the-midwest-was-getting-redder-before-2016

Dec 9, 2016 ... Here's one of the biggest questions Democrats face in the wake of Hillary Clinton's loss: Did Clinton have an Electoral College problem or does ...

fivethirtyeight.com/tag/gerrymandering

It's Much Harder To Protect Southern Black Voters' Influence Than It Was 10 Years Ago. By Harry ... Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? By Nate ...

fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-is-winning-the-states-that-look-like-the-democratic-party

Apr 15, 2016 ... Overall, Clinton gained a net of 155 delegates on Sanders in the five Deep South states, but she ... Source: FiveThirtyEight Delegate Tracker, The Green Papers. In addition to being important to the Democratic Party's electoral present and future, Florida, ..... Get our weekly most popular stories newsletter.

fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/democrats-shouldnt-count-on-an-electoral-college-edge-in-2016

Apr 21, 2014 ... After all, Democrats have overperformed in the Electoral College relative to the ... but a candidate gets the same number of electoral votes whether he wins a state by 50 ... Candidates, campaign strategies and luck matter. ... Emil Kaneti why, in your opinion, does HRC poll poorly in CO, if that's still true?

fivethirtyeight.com/features/voters-really-did-switch-to-trump-at-the-last-minute

Dec 20, 2016 ... Voters Really Did Switch To Trump At The Last Minute ... part of the reason why polling averages missed his upset Electoral College victory? .... some Republicans and Republican-leaning voters needed to get behind Trump. .... Maybe Nate simply got lucky 2012 with two fairly conventional candidates, and ...

fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-to-watch-election-night

Nov 8, 2016 ... Democratic areas reported first in the 2014 gubernatorial election, so it's ... That could happen this year too, but as the Election Day votes are counted, ... It did so even when the race was a dead heat and more than 20 percent of ... The basic rule in Arizona is that a lot of the early vote gets counted first, and ...