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Nate Silver

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

Nathaniel Read "Nate" Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician and writer ... In the 2012 United States presidential election between Barack Obama and Mitt .... its name ...

Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? - FiveThirtyEight

fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/02/26/did-democrats-get-lucky-in-the-electoral-college/

Feb 26, 2013 ... The tendency of Democrats to cluster in urban areas has harmed them in the House of Representatives, but not in the Electoral College.

Electoral CollegeFiveThirtyEight

fivethirtyeight.com/tag/electoral-college/

Something Funny Happened In Iowa, And It May Hurt Democrats In 2016. By Harry Enten ... Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? By Nate Silver.

What Would It Take To Flip States In The 2016 ... - FiveThirtyEight

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-swing-the-election/

Dec 3, 2015 ... FiveThirtyEight ... Democrats. Electoral votes: 332 ✓ ..... Not only did they give Obama 93 percent of their vote in 2012, their turnout rate of 66 ... If black turnout drops in 2016, Democrats will have much less room for error in .... In most states, the winner of the popular vote gets all of the state's electoral ...

Don't Assume Conservatives Will Rally Behind Trump | FiveThirtyEight

fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-assume-conservatives-will-rally-behind-trump/

Feb 29, 2016 ... True, recent elections have had very little voting across party lines: 93 percent ... And in November 2008, some 89 percent of Democrats who voted ... Others will get caught up in the esprit de corps of the election. ... Lucky for Trump then that the only swing state with a lot of True ... San Diego Mesa College.

Electoral Map – FiveThirtyEight

fivethirtyeight.com/tag/electoral-map/

Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? By Nate ... As Nation and Parties Change, Republicans Are at an Electoral College Disadvantage. By Nate  ...

Gerrymandering – FiveThirtyEight

fivethirtyeight.com/tag/gerrymandering/

Former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, left, appears at a get-out. Nov 3, 2014 ... Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? By Nate Silver.

What Would It Take To Flip States In The 2016 ... - FiveThirtyEight

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-swing-the-election/?fb_comment_id=1016708481722302_1083199481739868

Dec 3, 2015 ... FiveThirtyEight ..... Whites without college degrees are now the bedrock of the ... Not only did they give Obama 93 percent of their vote in 2012, their ... If black turnout drops in 2016, Democrats will have much less room for .... In most states, the winner of the popular vote gets all of the state's electoral vote...

What's At Stake For Democrats In The March 15 ... - FiveThirtyEight

fivethirtyeight.com/features/florida-ohio-democratic-primary-preview/

Mar 14, 2016 ... Clinton has done disproportionately well with black voters and older voters this year, and ... Could Sanders overperform in Illinois as he did in Michigan? ... As in all Democratic primaries, the margin is key because delegates are .... That's really going to help us support Clinton if she gets lucky and hangs on.

Political Geography – FiveThirtyEight

fivethirtyeight.com/tag/political-geography/

Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? By Nate Silver ... In Nevada, Obama, Ryan and Signs of a New (Democratic-Leaning) Normal. By Micah ...

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Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? | FiveThirtyEight

fivethirtyeight.com

Feb 26, 2013 ... President Obama won the Electoral College fairly decisively last year despite a margin of just 3.8 percentage points in the national popular vote ...

Democrats Shouldn't Count on an Electoral College ... - FiveThirtyEight

fivethirtyeight.com

Apr 21, 2014 ... After all, Democrats have overperformed in the Electoral College relative to the ... but a candidate gets the same number of electoral votes whether he wins a state by 50 ... Candidates, campaign strategies and luck matter.

With All Eyes On Trump, Clinton Is Winning The Democratic ...

fivethirtyeight.com

Feb 27, 2016 ... According to the South Carolina exit poll, Sanders lost black voters 14 percent to 86 percent. ... we see that Sanders did 19 percentage points worse than the benchmark in ... but the way that delegates are awarded in Democratic primaries ... become a monumental task to catch Clinton in the delegate count.