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Nate Silver - Wikipedia


Nathaniel Read "Nate" Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician and writer ... In the 2012 United States presidential election, Silver correctly predicted the .... its nam...

Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? | FiveThirtyEight


Feb 26, 2013 ... President Obama won the Electoral College fairly decisively last year despite a margin of just 3.8 percentage points in the national popular vote ...

united states - Is it true that Republicans have an unfair ...


Nov 14, 2014 ... Republican Party had an unfair advantage in elections for the House of Representatives. ... in Feb 2103 post "Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College?": ... FiveThirtyEight (not exactly a conservative bastion) says:.

FiveThirtyEight | Facebook


This is the official Facebook page of FiveThirtyEight. ... The worst games, for the most part, have one thing in common: luck. ... of Hillary Clinton's loss: Did Clinton have an Electoral College problem or does the Democratic Party have an Electoral College proble… ... You Can't Get Much More Popular Than John Glenn Was.

How Donald Trump Can Win - Newsweek


Jul 18, 2016 ... Its name—FiveThirtyEight.com—comes from the number of Electoral College votes necessary to win the presidency. ... In early July, Silver and the folks at FiveThirtyEight concluded that Democrat Hillary Clinton stood an 80 .... So Trump can get by without much Hispanic support in the Rust Belt because his ...

The mystery behind a group of electoral maps — Crooked Timber


Oct 23, 2016 ... The maps look a lot like what one can see on Fivethirtyeight.com, but .... Good luck. .... non-college educated, and white men support for the Democrats. .... Foppe @ 4 – just to note that UK voters did not in fact 'get rid of the ...

Most Forecasters Predict a Win for Clinton, Except for Two | The ...


Sep 4, 2016 ... Someone also might get lucky with a draw (the equivalent of a helpful ... and it . . . does not appear to be a 'sure thing' for the Democrats after the ... Tien said that translates to a narrow electoral college majority for Clinton of 274 votes. ... Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com and the New York Times'...

The Democrats Are Flawlessly Executing a 10-Point Plan to Lose ...


Apr 3, 2016 ... In short, there's a reason that FiveThirtyEight.com now says Trump is 5% below ... Then Bernie Sanders starting winning more Election Day votes than Clinton, .... maybe (if he's lucky!) get her to adopt one or two of his positions that, in fact, .... I plan to win in the pledged delegate battle” — but she never d...

Nate Silver's Flawed Model - | National Review


Oct 22, 2012 ... As worry built up among Democrats that Romney had tied the race ... pull together enough battleground states to get to 270 electoral votes. ... nor, if you only wish to credit him for swing states, did he get lucky 9 out of 9 times.

What Are Donald Trump's Odds of Winning the Election? | Heavy.com


Nov 6, 2016 ... Get Heavy's Top 5 News Stories Every Day ... FiveThirtyEight currently gives Trump a 34.5 percent chance of winning ... win in the Electoral College and therefore does not become president. ... They also predict that Hillary Clinton will win 317 Electoral College .... If you know what is that mean . good luck .

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2013 February - FiveThirtyEight Blog - The New York Times


Feb 27, 2013 ... Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? ... simplify the method, making the link to the FiveThirtyEight election forecasts more explicit.

Election Results in the Third Dimension - Metrocosm


Nov 17, 2016 ... In reality, Democrats received a larger share of the popular vote. ... Tiled cartograms work great for quickly summarizing state-level results, as they are used on FiveThirtyEight. .... Did all the map manipulation make you feel better about ... More than ever, I am convince that the electoral college is a necessity ...

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - 2014 Generic Congressional Vote


RealClearPolitics - Election Other - 2014 Generic Congressional Vote. ... Poll, Date, Sample. Republicans (R). Democrats (D). Spread ..... Did Dems Get Lucky in the Electoral College? - Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight. - Better Technology Won't  ...