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Nate Silver - Wikipedia


Nathaniel Read "Nate" Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician and writer ... In the 2012 United States presidential election, Silver correctly predicted the winner of .....

Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? - The New York ...


Feb 26, 2013 ... Nate Silver ... Contrast this Democratic advantage in the Electoral College with the Republican ... The chart orders the states and the District of Columbia based on what share of the vote Mr. Obama received in each one.

Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? | FiveThirtyEight


Feb 26, 2013 ... President Obama won the Electoral College fairly decisively last year despite a margin of just 3.8 percentage points in the national popular vote ...

The Rust Belt Elevated Trump, But Its Electoral ... - FiveThirtyEight


5 days ago ... Those electoral votes will all go to states in the South or West. .... three of the four congressional seats the state gained after the 2010 census went to Democrats. ... years, but it may take all of that skill and some luck in state elections to keep their current advantage in the House. ... Get more FiveThirtyEight.

Gerrymandering – FiveThirtyEight


It's Much Harder To Protect Southern Black Voters' Influence Than It Was 10 Years Ago. By Harry ... Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? By Nate ...

Democrats Shouldn't Count on an Electoral College ... - FiveThirtyEight


Apr 21, 2014 ... After all, Democrats have overperformed in the Electoral College relative to the ... but a candidate gets the same number of electoral votes whether he wins a state by 50 ... Candidates, campaign strategies and luck matter. ... Emil Kaneti why, in your opinion, does HRC poll poorly in CO, if that's still true?

It's Not All About Clinton — The Midwest Was ... - FiveThirtyEight


Dec 9, 2016 ... Here's one of the biggest questions Democrats face in the wake of Hillary Clinton's loss: Did Clinton have an Electoral College problem or does ...

Clinton Is Winning The States That Look Like The Democratic Party ...


Apr 15, 2016 ... Overall, Clinton gained a net of 155 delegates on Sanders in the five Deep ... Source: FiveThirtyEight Delegate Tracker, The Green Papers. In addition to being important to the Democratic Party's electoral ..... And, they either did not care, wrote those states in the Deep South off, or did care, but did not get ...

Electoral Map – FiveThirtyEight


Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? By Nate Silver. Nov. 8, 2012. As Nation and Parties Change, Republicans Are at an Electoral College ...

It Wasn't Clinton's Election To Lose | FiveThirtyEight


Jan 23, 2017 ... If the “emerging Democratic majority” was one pillar of the flawed argument that Hillary Clinton had an Electoral College advantage over ...