Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician and writer who ... In the 2012 United States presidential election, Silver correctly predicted the winner of all .... takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college. ... He also tried his luck in the 2009 World Series of Poker.
Feb 26, 2013 ... President Obama won the Electoral College fairly decisively last year despite a margin of just 3.8 percentage points in the national popular vote ...
Republican Party had an unfair advantage in elections for the House of Representatives. ... in Feb 2103 post "Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College?": ... FiveThirtyEight (not exactly a conservative bastion) says:.
Feb 22, 2013 ... But just as our election forecasts assign more weight to certain polls, we do ... Nate Silver .... Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College?
Jul 29, 2016 ... From Nate Silver: Exclusive @FiveThirtyEight projection on what the Electoral College would look like if women refuse to vote Trump…
Nov 4, 2016 ... 5 things Trump did while you weren't looking: Week 3 .... The debate isn't academic — especially for Democrats panicking in recent ... a ton of undecided voters (and a rather leaky Electoral College firewall for ... “[The HuffPost Pollster model is] designed to get more certain as we get closer to the election, ...
The Democrats' 'Working-Class Problem'. It's not only with whites. It reaches well into the party's base. by Stanley Greenberg. Read the article…
Aug 31, 2016 ... Sheet1 Gary Johnson Polling Impact Re-allocated votes in 2-way race ... The FiveThirtyEight political website conducted an analysis to explore ... Does Johnson Have More Potential with Republicans or Democrats? .... there is definitely an opening with the help of a few lucky breaks. ... FollowGet updates.
RealClearPolitics - Election Other - 2014 Generic Congressional Vote. ... Poll, Date, Sample. Republicans (R). Democrats (D). Spread ..... Did Dems Get Lucky in the Electoral College? - Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight. - Better Technology Won't ...
Oct 23, 2016 ... The maps look a lot like what one can see on Fivethirtyeight.com, but .... Good luck. ..... So, to get to the heart of the thing for dummies like me, does the ... It's just projecting Republican/Democrat votes from the 2012 election to ...