Scenario analysis is a process of analyzing possible future events by considering
alternative possible outcomes (sometimes called "alternative worlds"). Thus, the
scenario analysis, which ...
Prediction versus Projection – Forecast versus Possibility ... called a scenario,
and each scenario is based on assumptions about how the future will develop.
Scenario. A scenario is plausible and often simplified description of how the
future may develop, based on a coherent and internally consistent set of ...
Aug 23, 2007 ... And “A projection of the response of the climate system to emission or .... In
addition, projections may be probabilistic, while scenarios do not ascribe ... is
more interested in the difference between impacts associated with ...
New Policies Scenario of the World Energy Outlook broadly serves as the IEA
baseline scenario. It takes account of broad policy commitments and plans that ...
The extent of future climate change depends on what we do now to reduce ...
Projected GHG concentrations for four different emissions scenarios .... the right
shows projected regional differences in precipitation under two emission
Sections F.2 to F.9 present the resulting projections of changes to the future
climate. ... The SRES scenarios do not include additional climate initiatives,
which means ... The final four marker scenarios contained in the SRES differ in
minor ways ...
(SRES= Special Report on Emission Scenarios, 2000) ... Climate projections
without mitigation .... do not include direct impacts of land use (albedo) or the.
These include SRES illustrative marker scenarios for the 2000 to 2100 ... This
can now be compared with observed values of about 0.2°C per decade, ... These
illustrate the differences between lower and higher SRES emission scenarios,
and the ... Projected global average surface warming and sea level rise at the
end of ...
The A1 marker scenario (Jiang et al., 2000) was created with the AIM model, ...
Relatively slow convergence in inter-regional GDP per capita differences. .... the
SRES marker scenarios deploy the same (low) demographic projection does not