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Scenario analysis

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scenario_analysis

Scenario analysis is a process of analyzing possible future events by considering alternative possible outcomes (sometimes called "alternative worlds"). Thus, the scenario analysis, which ...

What is the difference between the words scenario, projection ...

climate4impact.eu/impactportal/help/faq.jsp?q=scenarios_projections_predictions_forecasts

Scenario. A scenario is plausible and often simplified description of how the future may develop, based on a coherent and internally consistent set of ...

Definition of terms - the IPCC Data Distribution Centre

www.ipcc-data.org/ddc_definitions.html

Jun 17, 2013 ... In general usage, a projection can be regarded as any description of the future ... A scenario is a coherent, internally consistent and plausible ...

Die Klimazwiebel: “Prediction" or "Projection”?: The Nomenclature of ...

klimazwiebel.blogspot.com/2013/07/prediction-or-projection-nomenclature.html

Jul 4, 2013 ... I can look at the differences according to having participated in IPCC ... IPCC Involvement/From a scenario simulation prepared with climate ...

regression - Difference between forecast and prediction? - Cross ...

stats.stackexchange.com/questions/65287/difference-between-forecast-and-prediction

Jul 23, 2013 ... Can you explain the difference between projection and the other two? ... are conditional forecasts (conditioned on a specific scenario), but it's ...

Scenarios and projections - International Energy Agency

www.iea.org/publications/scenariosandprojections/

New Policies Scenario of the World Energy Outlook broadly serves as the IEA baseline scenario. It takes account of broad policy commitments and plans that ...

Projections and scenario building - Unesco

www.unesco.org/new/fileadmin/MULTIMEDIA/FIELD/Beirut/images/T5.pdf

The methods used may not always be very different from those outlined for projections. ... manpower projections in that only one scenario is proposed; it can be ...

scenarios (A1B - IPCC

www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg1/029.htm

Sections F.2 to F.9 present the resulting projections of changes to the future climate. ... The SRES scenarios do not include additional climate initiatives, which means ... The final four marker scenarios contained in the SRES differ in minor ways ...

Projections of Future Changes in Climate - AR4 WGI Summary for ...

www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/spmsspm-projections-of.html

These include SRES illustrative marker scenarios for the 2000 to 2100 ... This can now be compared with observed values of about 0.2°C per decade, ... These illustrate the differences between lower and higher SRES emission scenarios, and the ... Projected global average surface warming and sea level rise at the end of ...

Making Sense of the New Climate Change Scenarios

cses.washington.edu/db/pdf/snoveretalsok2013sec3.pdf

To make projections, climate scientists use greenhouse gas scenarios .... The importance of differences between the old and new climate change projections will.

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WeatherZine #26 Guest Editorial

sciencepolicy.colorado.edu

... climate, the words scenarios, projections, predictions, and forecasts are often used ... A prediction is a probabilistic statement that something will happen in the  ...

There Is No Difference Between A Forecast, A Scenario, or A ...

wmbriggs.com

Aug 7, 2014 ... And bad forecast-scenario-projections means bad theories. ... but bad forecasts can't be ignored by calling them a projection or scenario.

Projection / Prediction – Stoat - ScienceBlogs

scienceblogs.com

Aug 23, 2007 ... Projections in scenario analysis are formulated for different reasons and .... By quoting the alleged differences, people like Gavin Schmidt are only ... A projection is a conditional statement: X will happen if Y. It is ok for X to be ...