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Scenario analysis

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scenario_analysis

Thus, the scenario analysis, which is a main method of projections, does not try to ... one should take care when assigning probabilities to different scenarios as ...

What is the difference between the words scenario, projection ...

climate4impact.eu/impactportal/help/faq.jsp?q=scenarios_projections_predictions_forecasts

Scenario. A scenario is plausible and often simplified description of how the future may develop, based on a coherent and internally consistent set of ...

There Is No Difference Between A Forecast, A Scenario, or A ...

wmbriggs.com/post/13252/

Aug 7, 2014 ... And bad forecast-scenario-projections means bad theories. ... Now if the forecast does not change in any way regardless of the state of the “x” ...

Definition of terms - the IPCC Data Distribution Centre

www.ipcc-data.org/ddc_definitions.html

Jun 17, 2013 ... The term "projection" is used in two senses in the climate change literature. ... A projection may serve as the raw material for a scenario, but ...

Future Climate Change | Climate Change | US EPA

www3.epa.gov/climatechange/science/future.html

Nov 4, 2015 ... The extent of future climate change depends on what we do now to ... Projected GHG concentrations for four different emissions scenarios.

Prediction versus Projection - Center for Science and Technology ...

sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/zine/archives/1-29/26/guest.html

Prediction versus Projection – Forecast versus Possibility ... the words scenarios, projections, predictions, and forecasts are often used interchangeably, ... a prediction is a statement about an event that is likely to occur no matter what they do.

scenario (A2 - Emissions Scenarios

www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/emission/index.php?idp=98

The A1 marker scenario (Jiang et al., 2000) was created with the AIM model, ... of the A1 scenario storyline with different demographic, economic, and energy .... the SRES marker scenarios deploy the same (low) demographic projection does  ...

Projections of Future Changes in Climate - AR4 WGI Summary for ...

www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/spmsspm-projections-of.html

Results for different emission scenarios are provided explicitly in this report to avoid ... Projected global average surface warming and sea level rise at the end of the ... {10.6}; Models used to date do not include uncertainties in climate- carbon ...

The Beginner's Guide to Representative Concentration Pathways

www.skepticalscience.com/rcp.php

They are representative in that they are one of several different scenarios that have similar ... In year 2000 the IPCC released a second generation of projections, ... the emission pathways, the database does not include socio- economic data.

Manicore - What is an emission scenario? Is it important for the future?

www.manicore.com/anglais/documentation_a/greenhouse/emission_scenario.html

Some "skeptics" do not miss to to invoke such an argument. ..... the top of the page : for a given emission scenario, the various models do not differ by more than ...

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