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United States presidential election, 1948 - Wikipedia


The United States presidential election of 1948 was the 41st quadrennial presidential election, .... Even so, Stassen was still leading Dewey in the polls for the upcoming Oregon primary. ..... Dixi...

The election of 1948 demonstrated that a good poll needed what


The election of 1948 demonstrated that a good poll needed a later sample.

What are the necessities to have a good poll - Answers.com


random sample ... What is not a good characteristic of a good opinion poll? Using a push ... What did The election of 1936 demonstrated that a good poll needed? The election of ...

Texas Bandits: A Study of the 1948 Democratic Primary Jason, an ...


In one of the most studied elections in United States history, ... If he lost his Senate bid in 1948, he planned to return to Texas to .... particularly his stance on labor, demonstrates how Johnson was adept at playing ... They were good, because he and Stevenson would both go into a ..... Fortas realized that Johnson needed.

Voting in 1948: CQR


Potential Vote in the 1948 Election ... Probably the largest group of newcomers to the polls in 1948 will be veterans who could not, or did not, cast ballots in 1944 ...

Political Polls: CQR


Public opinion polls have played a part in past national elections but never so .... of the state's Democratic voters needed to carry the state for Nixon in November. .... Prior to 1936, straw polls enjoyed a good reputation, for the Digest had come .... In presidential elections other than the Dewey-Truman election of 1948 the ...

Forecasting the Vote: A Theoretical Comparison of Election Markets ...


Political scientists have used preelection polls to study the (intended) voting .... later demonstrate, even if the market price is efficient, it does not follow that the .... market price is a good predictor because the market is efficient (Forsythe et al. .... market and the behavior of participants are needed. ...... election Polls o...

The 1948 Presidential Election Polls


One of the most famous failures of political polling occurred in the 1948 presidential election between Harry Truman (the democratic incumbent) and Thomas ...



Three major polls covered the election campaign: Crossley, for the Hearst newspapers ... To find out what went wrong for the polls, it is necessary to find out how they chose their ... From a commonsense point of view, quota sampling leeks good. it seems to ... Table 3. The Republican bias in the Gallup Poll, 1936- 1948.

American Public Opinion in the 1930s and 1940s: The ... - MIT


the preelection polls primarily on quota sample methods (Mosteller et al. 1949). 5 . Specifically ... where interviewers were instructed to get a “good distribution.” 11. The economic ..... presented in Cantril (1948) demonstrates a remarkable level of over-time stability quite ... It is necessary to take a model-based approach to.

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What did The election of 1936 demonstrated that a good poll needed


The election of 1936 demonstrated that a good poll needed, among other things, a random ... The election of 1948 demonstrated that a good poll needed what? The election of 1948 demonstrated that a good poll needed a later sample.

US Election 1948: The First Great Controversy about Polls, Media ...


The 1948 failure of the U.S. pre-election polls was an occasion for social scientists to .... Bernard Berelsen of Chicago University demonstrated the usefulness of .... about research indicators necessary to do the calculations in a pre-election poll. .... This decision to go from "good practice" to "best practice" i...

1936 election: Case Study I


The presidential election of 1936 pitted Alfred Landon, the Republican ... The sampling error in the Literary Digest poll was a whopping 19%, the largest ever in  ...