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Apr 29, 2017 ... The latest Telegraph/ ORB poll shows the Conservatives on 42 per cent, 11 points clear of Labour on 32 per cent. These new figures constitute ...


The tipping point state is Pennsylvania where Clinton is ahead by 1.6%. ... Margin (EV) 2016 Electoral College Trend Chart Down is better for Clinton.


All posts tagged“Tipping Point States”. Feb. 6, 2017 ... Election Forecast: Obama Begins With Tenuous Advantage. By Nate Silver. Thanks for subscribing!


Track the election with a red/blue map of the US updated daily using the latest state polls. ... The states are listed from most Democratic to most Republican. The fourth ... The state that puts either candidate over the top is the tipping-point state. ... Click on a state name to see a graph of all the presidential polls for that state.


Jun 9, 2017 ... Rolling visual analysis of the 2017 general election results. ... more likely to vote for Emmanuel Macron in the French presidential election, ... A tipping point came in early May when more 2015 Ukip supporters said they .... As the FT's elections analyst Matt Singh writes: “At no point in the past quarter of a ...


Of the more than 120 million votes cast in the 2016 election, 107,000 votes in three states effectively decided the election. ... voted for the same party's presidential nominees over the past four elections. ... his celebrity brand and marketing strategy were tipping points for his victory. ... Most of Trump's charts skew the data.


Oct 25, 2016 ... The Tipping Points of the 2016 Election ... the last time a GOP presidential nominee carried the state, with the results during President ... in the history of modern polling among college-educated white voters, he faces the risk of ... Trump's hope in these states rests more on death by a thousand cuts — small ...


Aug 2, 2016 ... A reader, Phil from Virginia, wondered if there was a way to indicate more clearly on The Upshot's presidential forecasting model which states ...


Dec 20, 2012 ... As we prepare to truly turn the page on the 2012 election and begin to focus on ... vote, beating out Colorado (the 2008 Tipping Point state) by 0.02 percent. ... Adjusted to today's locations, former President Bill Clinton won 60 percent ... President Obama won the moderate vote by 15 points, which more than ...


Nov 25, 2012 ... It was a closer election than in 2008, by several percentage points, but it wasn't the .... The "tipping point" state, or the state closest to "par," however, aren't ... What might be more interesting than the first chart, showing the .... That previous chart of the 2008 to 2012 trend had a lot of negative numbers in it.