Election 2020: We Compare Candidates Whose Senate Campaigns Are Most Likely to Flip Seats

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Updated | January 22: As of now, all of the following races have been decided after the Georgia Senate runoff elections — one between Republican David Purdue and Democrat Jon Ossoff, and another between Republican Kelly Loeffler and Democrat Raphael Warnock — took place on January 5. Both candidates' races were called on January 6, and they were sworn in as Senators on January 20, the same date as the presidential inauguration. These victories created an even 50-50 split in the Senate but ultimately gave Democrats control, with Vice President Harris — who administered the oath of office to Warnock and Ossoff — serving as the tie-breaking vote.

The battle for control of the United States Senate has been fierce, to say the least. According to Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster interviewed by Vox, "There are numerous Senate races that are essentially margin of error races right now." Of course, how Americans feel about these hotly contested Senate seats — and how they ultimately cast their votes — is informed by several key events, including the continuing police brutality and murder of Black Americans as well as state and federal responses (or lack thereof) to the ongoing COVID-19 crisis, which has claimed over 211,000 American lives thus far.

Moreover, the Senate majority could turn from red to blue if Democrats manage to flip a few seats — but on the other hand, Republicans have a real shot at taking back seats in historically red states like Alabama. Oh, and there’s the matter of the Supreme Court (lifetime) appointment on the line. All of this to say, this election matters — a lot. Americans need to go to the polls, or the mailbox, feeling sure of their candidates. With this in mind, we’re taking a look at the closest Senate races and comparing the candidates who have a shot at flipping those highly sought-after seats.