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Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician and writer who ... In the 2012 United States presidential election, Silver correctly predicted the winner of all .... takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college. ... He also tried his luck in the 2009 World Series of Poker.


Feb 26, 2013 ... President Obama won the Electoral College fairly decisively last year despite a margin of just 3.8 percentage points in the national popular vote ...


It's Much Harder To Protect Southern Black Voters' Influence Than It Was 10 Years Ago. By Harry ... Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? By Nate ...


Aug 7, 2017 ... But their problems extend beyond the Electoral College and the House: The ... Even if Democrats were to win every single 2018 House and Senate race for seats ... What did it take for the party to be able to obtain 60 seats?


Feb 27, 2013 ... Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College? ... simplify the method, making the link to the FiveThirtyEight election forecasts more explicit.


Feb 22, 2013 ... But just as our election forecasts assign more weight to certain polls, we ... By Nate Silver .... Did Democrats Get Lucky in the Electoral College?


Oct 23, 2016 ... According to experts, you look at the electoral college, foreign policy records, and ... and Democrats don't have the incumbency advantage to pull out a win. ... Meanwhile, FiveThirtyEight, led by statistics guru Nate Silver, put Clinton's ... McMullin could win the traditionally red state and, with any luck, block ...


Apr 3, 2016 ... In short, there's a reason that FiveThirtyEight.com now says Trump is 5% ... Then Bernie Sanders starting winning more Election Day votes than Clinton, ... super- delegates to vote the same way as their states of origin did (and if .... maybe (if he's lucky!) get her to adopt one or two of his positions that, in fact, ...


He calculates that 1/3 of future POTUS elections will put loser of popular vote in WH, ... Southern Baptists, and Americans of Puerto Rican descent all get left in the cold. ... This bingo card turns out to be a fairly apt explanation for what did, and did .... …the state's ability to muster the five votes that it needed to put the lower ...